‘All others,’ Smile Happy are top bets in Ky. Derby Future Wager

Eight weeks in advance of the $3 million classic, “all other 3-year-olds” closed as the 4-1 favorite in Pool 4 of the 2022 Kentucky Derby Future Wager, a national pari-mutuel offering from Churchill Downs.

Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) winner and Risen Star (G2) runner-up smile happy closed as the 6-1 second betting choice, spurred in part by a “couple-thousand-dollar” wager Saturday by Jim McIngvale, the owner of the colt’s stallion Runhappy. Better known as “Mattress Mack,” McIngvale confirmed the bet Sunday in a conversation with Horse Racing Nation.

San Vicente (G2) and San Felipe (G2) winner Forbidden Kingdom was the third choice at 7-1.

This marked the 15th time in the last 20 years that the pari-mutuel field of “all other 3-year-olds” went favored in the March future pool.

Horses in order of favoritism in the three-day March 11-13 KDFW Pool 4, including trainers, odds, $2 win will-pays and the win handle for each entry:

KDFW Pool 4 Trainer odds $2 pays Wagers
24. All other 3-year-olds 4-1 $10.40 $45,003
19. Smile Happy Kenny McPeek 6-1 $15.00 $30,989
10. Forbidden Kingdom Richard Mandella 7-1 $16.60 $28,117
4. Classic Causeway Brian Lynch 10-1 $23.00 $20,269
8. Epicenter Steve Asmussen 13-1 $28.40 $16,440
3.Charge It Todd Pletcher 17-1 $37.20 $12,571
14. Morello Steve Asmussen 17-1 $37.20 $12,567
18. Simplify Antonio Sano 19-1 $40.00 $11,687
6. Early Voting Chad Brown 19-1 $41.60 $11,235
22. Zandon Chad Brown 22-1 $46.00 $10,165
21. White Abarrio Saffie Joseph Jr. 22-1 $47.80 $9,798
13. Mo Donegal Todd Pletcher 24-1 $50.40 $9,300
23. Zozos Brad Cox 30-1 $62.20 $7,542
16. Rattle N Roll Kenny McPeek 31-1 $64.00 $7,328
9. Ethereal Road D.Wayne Lukas 32-1 $67.40 $6,949
7.Emmanuel Todd Pletcher 33-1 $69.60 $6,741
5. Cyberknife Brad Cox 36-1 $74.80 $6,275
20. An Ojo Ricky Courville 36-1 $74.80 $6,266
1. Barber Road John Ortiz 39-1 $80.20 $5,847
11. In Due Time Kelly Breen 48-1 $99.40 $4,716
17. Shipsational Ed Barker 51-1 $104.20 $4,498
12. Major-General Todd Pletcher 65-1 $132.60 $3,536
2. Call Me Midnight Keith Desormeaux 68-1 $138.20 $3,393
15. Pioneer of Medina Todd Pletcher 71-1 $144.00 $3,258

The KDFW did not include Bob Baffert-trained horses like Messier, a two-time Grade 3 winner who is best priced at 15-1 with Las Vegas oddsmakers. Because of a drug ban imposed on the trainer, Baffert horses will remain ineligible for the Derby unless they are transferred to other trainers in time to qualify for the race.

The Kentucky Derby Future Wager, offered for a 24th consecutive year, enables bettors to wager on possible Derby contenders in advance at odds that could be more attractive than those available on the day of the race. The 148th running of the Derby will be Saturday, May 7.

In the lone Kentucky Oaks Future Wager, which was conducted concurrently with the KDFW, unbeaten champion 2-year-old filly Echo Zulu closed as 5-2 favorite over runaway Honeybee (G3) winner Secret Oath, who was 7-2.

The final odds for the Oaks Future Wager:

Ky. Oaks Future Wager Trainer odds $2 pays Wagers
7. Echo Zulu Steve Asmussen 5-2 $7.60 $13,890
18. Secret Oath D.Wayne Lukas 7-2 $9.80 $10,691
24. All other 3yo girls 6-1 $15.00 $7,029
14. Kathleen O. Shug McGaughey 9-1 $20.40 $5,196
15. Nest Todd Pletcher 14-1 $31.00 $3,431
21. Venti Valentine Jorge Abreu 15-1 $32.40 $3,279
13. Juju’s Map Brad Cox 22-1 $47.00 $2,260
20. Turnerloose Brad Cox 24-1 $50.00 $2,127
19. Shahama Todd Pletcher 24-1 $51.80 $2,050
2. Ain’t Easy Phil D’Amato 27-1 $56.20 $1,889
1. A Mo Reay Todd Pletcher 36-1 $75.40 $1,409
5.Bubble Rock Brad Cox 37-1 $77.80 $1,366
6.Classy Edition Todd Pletcher 38-1 $78.40 $1,353
11. Hidden Connection Bret Calhoun 41-1 $85.80 $1,237
3. Awake At Midnyte Doug O’Neill 45-1 $92.80 $1,144
16. Nostaglic Bill Mott 46-1 $94.00 $1,130
10. Goddess of Fire Todd Pletcher 51-1 $105.80 $1,004
9.Favor Todd Pletcher 71-1 $145.20 $732
17. Sandstone Kenny McPeek 81-1 $165.80 $641
4. Bernabreezy Matt Shirer 84-1 $171.00 $622
12. Ice Orchid John Ortiz 88-1 $178.60 $595
22. Veterans Highway Rusty Arnold 93-1 $189.20 $561
23. Yuugiri Rodolphe Brisset 108-1 $218.60 $486
8. Fannie and Freddie Al Stall Jr. 154-1 $310.60 $342

Baffert fillies also are conspicuous by their absence because of the drug ban. Otherwise, Adare Manor might have been included. The Las Virgenes (G3) winner was listed during the weekend as a 5-1 second choice in foreign betting on the Oaks.

Betting on all future wagers over the three-day period was up 16.7 percent to $550,030. Last year’s March handle totaled $471,494.

The total handle for the March 11-13 KDFW pool, the fourth of five wagering pools in advance of the Derby, was $374,702 ($284,503 in the win pool and $90,200 in the exacta), up 16.2 percent compared with last year’s $322,477 ($231,632 win , 90.844 exacta).

Betting on the Oaks Future Wager totaled $90,737 ($64,480 win, $26,257 exacta), a 15.9 percent increase vs. last year’s $78,290 ($57,219 win, $20,771 exacta).

The Oaks-Derby Future Double, which requires fans to correctly select the winners of both the Kentucky Oaks on May 6 and the next day’s Kentucky Derby, handled $84,591, a 19.6 percent jump from last year’s $70,727.

The year’s fifth and final Kentucky Derby Future Wager pool is set for Thursday, March 31, through Saturday, April 2. Different from the first four pools of the KDFW, Pool 5 will close prior to earliest Road to the Kentucky Derby 100-40- 20-10 prep points April 2.

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